December 8, 2022
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Air Force vs. Navy prediction, odds, spread: 2022 Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy picks by proven computer model

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The Navy Midshipmen begin their quest for a 17th Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy when they visit the Air Force Falcons on Saturday in the first leg of the annual series. Navy (1-2) has captured the trophy 11 times in the last 19 years to pull within four of the Falcons, who rank first among the three U.S. Military Academies with 20 awards. Army has won the trophy nine times while it has been shared on five occasions. The Midshipmen are looking to snap their four-game road losing streak against Air Force (3-1), which posted a 40-7 victory when it most recently hosted the matchup in 2020.

Kickoff at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Col. is set for noon ET. The Falcons are 14-point favorites in the latest Air Force vs. Navy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 38. Saturday’s game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan. 

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And before making any Navy vs. Air Force picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Navy vs. Air Force and just revealed its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Air Force vs. Navy:

  • Air Force vs. Navy spread: Falcons -14
  • Air Force vs. Navy over/under: 38 points
  • Air Force vs. Navy money line: Falcons -600, Midshipmen +430
  • AF: The Falcons are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games
  • NAVY: The Midshipmen are 7-1 ATS in their last eight contests against teams with winning records
  • Air Force vs. Navy picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Air Force vs. Navy streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen

Why Air Force can cover

The Falcons lead the nation in rushing with an average of 412.3 yards after gaining 461 against the Wolf Pack. Senior Brad Roberts had a huge game, posting his third 100-yard performance in four games this season with 123 while recording three rushing touchdowns for the second time. Roberts is third in the country with seven TDs on the ground and ninth with 465 rushing yards.

John Lee Eldridge III also was a big contributor as he reached triple digits for the second straight week with 102 yards on only eight carries. The junior has run for at least 85 yards in each of his four outings this year and is averaging 10.2 on 37 attempts. The Falcons had just one completion on three pass attempts versus Nevada, but it was a big one as backup quarterback Ben Brittain connected with senior wide receiver David Cormier for an 80-yard touchdown.

Why Navy can cover 

The Midshipmen have performed well away from home of late, winning three of their last four road games as well as a neutral-site contest that concluded the 2021 season. They recorded their first victory of 2022 last week at East Carolina, outlasting the Pirates 23-20 in double overtime. Navy rushed for 191 yards in the triumph, with Maquel Haywood gaining 67 on 13 carries and fellow sophomore Anton Hall Jr. recording 57 and a touchdown on 22 attempts.

Junior quarterback Tai Lavatai, who has yet to throw an interception this season, completed 7-of-10 pass attempts for a career-high 152 yards and a TD. Vincent Terrell Jr. was Lavatai’s main target as he made three catches for 114 yards, with 65 coming on a scoring pass in the fourth quarter. The Midshipmen are capable of keeping Air Force’s top-ranked ground attack in check as they are fifth in the nation in rushing defense with an average of 69 yards allowed per contest.

How to make Navy vs. Air Force picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Air Force vs. Navy? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $3,100 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.





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